Festive Racing Day 2 Preview

Off the back of such an emphatic win for Thistlecrack yesterday, it’s hard to see a more impressive horse over the festive period or in fact this season.

There is however the small matter of the Welsh National as well as a host of other tasty looking races as we look to build on the small loss yesterday. If you followed every tip then you will be down by less than your stake per race – all in all, not bad going.

We start with the 13.20 at Leopardstown with the might DOUVAN. Such a fine and mighty horse should romp home but at 2/9, there is not much value so each way punters should take a chance on Black Hercules.

Next is the money back special if second or third (Skybet all customers) at Chepstow in the 13.25 and it would be silly to place an each way bet here considering the offer. I’m opting for ROLLING DYLAN who impressed last time out and could kick start a great day for Richard Johnson.

A similar race is the 13.45 at Kemtpon with ALTIOR a ridiculous price at 1/7. A smart jumper and almost too impossible to catch on the ground, I can’t see Marracudja getting near even at his best.

The 14.20 at Kempton is the most intriguing race of the day. With only 4 horses, it looks like a 2 horse race between Special Tiara and SIRE DE GRUGY. The latter carries a whole chunk of weight but I think he is by far the superior horse in the field and can justify his rise.

We see the Welsh National at 14.40 at Chepstow with Native River the hot favourite. After impressing hugely in the Hennessey at Newbury last month, it’s hard to see anybody coming close on even terms but he is carrying a considerable penalty and I can see CAROL’S DESTRIER passing him on the run in. Skybet are paying 6 places for all customer so an each way stake is the more desirable bet for this race.

If you have any money left over, there’s a big field to choose from in the 15.00 at Leopardstown. I’ve opted for COLM’S DREAM after dominating in Ireland last season but we haven’t seen him since.

The final race of interest today is the 15.05 at Wetherby. Judging by the market, course winner APTERIX is correctly the favourite to be on.

 

Festive Racing Day 1 Preview

If you’re joining us off the back of my Cheltenham or Aintree posts from earlier in the year then welcome back. If you’re new to this forum then fingers crossed we do as well as the festivals.

We’ve clearly been good this year as we look forward to the reappearance of Jezki as well as Sire De Grugy, Djakadam and Altior in great form. We also have the likes of Faugheen, Douvan and the small matter of the Welsh National.

Tomorrow, we are treated to three races that – on paper – should be between two classes horses.

The 14.20 at Leopardstown sees the highly anticipated Min vs Identity Thief and the 14.40 at Kempton gives us Yanworth vs The New One. On recent form, ground, course and distance, these are both too tight to call so I’m going for reverse forecasts in both. There’s not a great deal of value here but I’d rather spend my money where I think I’m going to make a profit than chase an outsider and throw money away.

The race of the day is, without a doubt, the King George at Kempton at 15.15. Always a classic, this race is made even more intriguing with Colin Tizzard running Thistlecrack as well as the mighty Cue Card. In a field this small, I am opting for THISTLECRACK to make all and disappear into the distance but the safer bet here is Skybet’s enhanced price of Evens for the reverse forecast.

As for the remainder of the day, there is more than enough racing to pick a few winners.

We start at Wetherby with the 13.50. Without the 10lb raise, I would be backing Yala Enki to make all and hold on but the penalty and the wide open field has pointed me in the direction of value and I fancy ACTINPIECES to steal a place. Betfair are offering a free bet if our selection is the winner of this race so stake with them.

The 14.25 should be a simple affair with SOLOMON GRUNDY finding enough in the latter stages – but it’s never that simple is it?

Back in Ireland, the 14.00 at Limerick sees the impressive BELLSHILL take on lesser competition. Nambour has looked handy recently without winning but probably won’t have enough.

The 14.55 at Leopardstown is an interesting one with BALL D’ARC a massive favourite in my eyes but the market not yet agreeing. Dandridge could be feared if the ground suits. Another race where Betfair are giving out free bets if you back my selection and he comes home first.

Switching back to England, YUKON DELTA should outclass his rivals in the 15.05 at Huntingdon if on top form. I’d advise hanging around to see if he drifts to 4/1 for each way money.

My final selections of the day are COBRA DE MAI in the 15.30 at Market Rasen and LISHEEN PRINCE in the 15.45 at Kempton. With top jockeys booked for good trainers, the each way prices seem too generous to turn down.

As always, take advantage of any bookie offers for new accounts and keep and eye out for extra place bets.

We’ll have a look at the following day’s meetings tomorrow.

Good Luck and Merry Christmas.